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Alobariatrics

20,000+ Procedures · 20+ Years · Board-Certified
Free tool · Gastric sleeve · Month-by-month results

Gastric Sleeve Weight Loss Calculator

Enter your height and weight to see how much you could lose with a gastric sleeve at 1, 3, 6, 12 and 18 months, then compare it with any other procedure. Based on published %EWL data, reviewed by Dr. Alejandro López, board-certified bariatric surgeon.

Gastric sleeve expected weight loss timeline

After a gastric sleeve (vertical sleeve gastrectomy, VSG) most patients lose 60–70% of their excess weight in the first 12 months and 65–75% by 18 months. Excess weight is your current weight minus your ideal weight at a BMI of 25. The table shows the typical %EWL at each milestone and what it means in pounds for three example patients.

Ideal weight = 25 × height²  ·  Excess weight = current weight − ideal weight  ·  Expected loss = excess weight × %EWL

Example: at 5′6″ and 260 lb your ideal weight is about 155 lb and your excess weight about 105 lb, so 60–70% EWL means 63–74 lb lost in the first year.

Want to understand what each stage feels like? Read our gastric sleeve weight loss timeline.

Milestone%EWL5′4″ · 220 lb (74 lb excess)5′6″ · 260 lb (105 lb excess)5′8″ · 300 lb (136 lb excess)
1 month10–15%7–11 lb11–16 lb14–20 lb
3 months25–35%19–26 lb26–37 lb34–48 lb
6 months45–55%33–41 lb47–58 lb61–75 lb
12 months60–70%44–52 lb63–74 lb82–95 lb
18 months65–75%48–56 lb68–79 lb88–102 lb
Ranges from published series and ASMBS/IFSO averages. Enter your own numbers in the calculator above for a personalized projection.

Average monthly weight loss after gastric sleeve

The first month is the fastest — you are on a liquid and puréed diet and typically lose 10–15% of your excess weight. The pace slows month by month as your body approaches its new set point. For a patient with about 75 lb of excess weight:

PeriodAverage loss per monthCumulative %EWL
Month 18–11 lb10–15%
Months 2–35–8 lb25–35%
Months 4–65–6 lb45–55%
Months 7–122–3 lb60–70%
Months 13–18≈1 lb65–75%
A stall around week 3 and again around month 3 is normal: the body is adjusting fluid and muscle mass. Keep protein at 60–80 g/day and follow up with your team.

How much weight will I lose with a gastric sleeve?

It depends on your excess weight. At 60–70% EWL in the first year:

  • 50 lb of excess weight → 30–35 lb lost
  • 75 lb → 45–53 lb
  • 100 lb → 60–70 lb
  • 125 lb → 75–88 lb
  • 150 lb → 90–105 lb

Patients with a BMI above 50 lose more pounds but often a slightly smaller percentage, which is why the surgeon may recommend SADI-S or a duodenal switch instead. Results depend on adherence to the diet, protein intake, activity and follow-up.

Gastric sleeve vs other bariatric procedures

Procedure%EWL at 12 months%EWL at 18 monthsCompared with the sleeve
Gastric sleeve60–70%65–75%
Gastric bypass (RYGB)65–75%70–80%≈ +5%; better for reflux and diabetes
Mini gastric bypass70–85%75–85%+10–15%; single anastomosis
SADI-S75–85%80–90%+15%; often for BMI 50+ or as a second step
SASI bypass (transit bipartition)75–85%78–88%+15%; strong metabolic results
Gastric band (Lap-Band®)40–50%42–52%−20%; higher revision rate
Choose a procedure in the "compare" box above to see both side by side with your numbers, or open the full bariatric surgery weight loss calculator.

What changes your results

Starting BMI (higher BMI = more pounds, slightly lower %EWL) · Age and metabolism · Type 2 diabetes and medications · Protein and hydration (60–80 g of protein a day protects muscle and keeps loss on track) · Activity (walking from day 1, strength training from month 2) · Follow-up with your surgeon and nutritionist at 1, 3, 6 and 12 months. Patients who keep all follow-ups lose on average 10–15% more of their excess weight than those who don’t.

Frequently asked questions

How fast do you lose weight after gastric sleeve surgery?

About 10–15% of your excess weight in the first month, 25–35% by month three and 45–55% by month six. For 75 lb of excess weight that is roughly 8–11 lb in the first month and 5–8 lb per month during months two and three.

Why did my weight loss stall at 3 weeks (or 3 months)?

The "three-week stall" is normal: your body replaces glycogen and water after the initial drop. A second plateau around month three is also common. Keep protein high, stay hydrated, avoid grazing, and the loss resumes within one to three weeks.

Is 60–70% excess weight loss guaranteed?

No. It is the range most patients achieve when they follow the program. Some lose more, some less. Very high starting BMI, uncontrolled diabetes, certain medications and skipping follow-ups reduce results.

Can I lose more weight with a bypass than with a sleeve?

On average about 5% more excess weight (65–75% vs 60–70% at one year), and the bypass controls reflux and diabetes better. The sleeve is simpler and carries fewer nutritional risks. Compare both in the calculator above.

Do I qualify for a gastric sleeve?

Generally a BMI of 35+ with obesity-related conditions, or 40+ without them; many centers also treat BMI 30–35 with type 2 diabetes. Take our free 2-minute medical questionnaire and Dr. López will review your case.

Will I regain weight after a sleeve?

Most patients keep 55–65% of their excess weight off at five years. Regain is usually gradual and tied to habits; when it is significant, a conversion to bypass or SADI-S is an option — see the revision options in the calculator.

Sources

  • American Society for Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery (ASMBS) — Bariatric surgery procedures and expected outcomes
  • International Federation for the Surgery of Obesity (IFSO) — global registry reports on weight-loss outcomes by procedure
  • Salminen P, et al. JAMA 2018 (SLEEVEPASS) and Peterli R, et al. JAMA 2018 (SM-BOSS): 5-year sleeve vs. bypass randomized trials
  • Robert M, et al. The Lancet 2019 (YOMEGA): one-anastomosis (mini) gastric bypass vs. Roux-en-Y bypass
  • Sánchez-Pernaute A, et al. Obesity Surgery: SADI-S single-anastomosis duodeno-ileal bypass outcomes
  • Mahdy T, et al. Obesity Surgery 2020: SASI bypass (transit bipartition) randomized outcomes
  • Buchwald H, et al. JAMA 2004 and Brethauer SA, et al. SOARD: meta-analyses of excess weight loss by procedure and gastric plication reviews

Ranges in this tool are estimates based on the literature above and ALO Bariatrics’ clinical experience. Individual results vary. This calculator is educational and is not a medical diagnosis or a guarantee of results.

Want to know if the sleeve is the procedure the surgeon recommends for you?

Free 2-minute medical questionnaire · Personally reviewed by Dr. Alejandro López · Response in 24-48 hours

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